Analisis Perilaku Inflasi Jangka Pendek Dan Jangka Panjang Atas Faktor – Faktor Penyebab Utama Di Indonesia

Sutawijaya, Adrian and Zulfahmi, (2014) Analisis Perilaku Inflasi Jangka Pendek Dan Jangka Panjang Atas Faktor – Faktor Penyebab Utama Di Indonesia. Project Report. Universitas Terbuka, Tangerang Selatan.

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Abstract

Price stability or inflation control is one of the major macroeconomic issues in addition to several other important macroeconomic issues. The phenomenon of inflation in the economy of Indonesia received special attention. Every time there is a distortion of social, political and economic development at home and abroad, people always relate to the problem of inflation. Low inflation and stable would be a stimulator of economic growth. The variables that will be examined in this study is the interest rate, investment, money supply, and the exchange rate. The data used in this study during the period 1985-2005 from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), and Bank Indonesia (BI). The research data were analyzed by using OLS (Ordinary Least Square). The studies results is the interest rate, money supply, investment, and exchange rates jointly have an effect on inflation in Indonesia. Interest Rate Factor will have a positive influence as high as 1289%. factor in the money supply will have a positive influence on inflation as high as 0.001 if the money supply is referred to as an increase of 1%. Investment will negatively impact high inflation -0.0001802% if the investment is called rose 1%. Exchange will provide a positive impact on inflation as high as 0.00427%.

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